Serie D · Brazil
ABC vs Maguary PE prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: ABC to win @ 1.65 – our chance 66% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: ABC 1.6 – 0.5 Maguary PE expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
ABC are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 13% for Maguary PE.
ABC have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 2.0 per game. Maguary PE have 5 points from their last 4 (1W 2D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.6 for ABC, 0.5 for Maguary PE). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (20%), 2–0 (16%), 0–0 (12%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.24. For a bigger price, ABC to win at 1.65 is our value angle (66% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | ABC to win ✓ | 66% | 1.50 | 1.65 ▲ |
| Double chance | ABC or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.24 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT ABC / FT ABC ✗ | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 20% | 5.05 | – |
Form
ABC – last 6
| 31 May | @ Laguna | 2–0 | W |
| 28 May | vs Vitoria | 3–4 | L |
| 24 May | vs America-RN | 1–1 | D |
| 21 May | @ Vitoria | 2–6 | L |
| 6 May | vs Juazeirense | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Apr | vs Ferroviario | 4–1 | W |
Maguary PE – last 4
| 25 May | @ Laguna | 1–1 | D |
| 17 May | @ Central SC | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Feb | @ Fortaleza EC | 3–4 | L |
| 18 Feb | vs Laguna | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ABC and Maguary PE.
More Serie D predictions
Central SC2
Laguna1
Sousa0
America-RN2
Atlético Alagoinhas1
CSA7
Ipatinga2
Operario Ferroviario1
CRAC1
Ivinhema1
CSE0
Juazeirense1
GAS3
Manaus FC1
Jacuipense1
ASA1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for ABC vs Maguary PE?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win ABC vs Maguary PE?
On our numbers ABC have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Maguary PE 13%.
How many goals will there be in ABC vs Maguary PE?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is ABC vs Maguary PE?
ABC vs Maguary PE (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.