Ipatinga vs Operario Ferroviario prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Ipatinga to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIpatinga to win ✓65% · @1.67
Double chanceIpatinga or draw ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.86
Ipatinga vs Operario Ferroviario preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D sees Ipatinga take on Operario Ferroviario on Sunday 14 June, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Ipatinga's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Aymorés 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Operario Ferroviario's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat CRAC 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Operario Ferroviario arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Ipatinga and 0.5 for Operario Ferroviario. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Ipatinga to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ipatinga 1–0 Operario Ferroviario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ipatinga65%fair 1.54 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.10
Operario Ferroviario13%fair 7.57 · @4.80
2.00Expected goals
1.52Ipatinga xG
0.48Operario Ferroviario xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ipatinga 1.5 – 0.5 Operario Ferroviario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ipatinga to win✓
65%
1.54
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Ipatinga or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ipatinga / FT Ipatinga✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.86
–
Form
Ipatinga – last 3
LLD
12 Jun
@ Aymorés
0–4
L
30 May
@ ABECAT Ouvidorense
1–2
L
18 May
@ Uberlandia
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Operario Ferroviario – last 6
WDWDWL
31 May
vs CRAC
2–0
W
29 Apr
@ Capital Brasilia
2–2
D
17 Apr
vs Primavera MG
4–1
W
10 Apr
vs Rio Branco ES
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Bataguassu
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Vila Nova
0–6
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ipatinga and Operario Ferroviario.
What is the prediction for Ipatinga vs Operario Ferroviario?
Our pick is Ipatinga to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Ipatinga vs Operario Ferroviario?
On our numbers Ipatinga have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Operario Ferroviario 13%.
How many goals will there be in Ipatinga vs Operario Ferroviario?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ipatinga vs Operario Ferroviario?
Our predicted score is Ipatinga 1–0 Operario Ferroviario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Ipatinga vs Operario Ferroviario?
Ipatinga vs Operario Ferroviario (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
ABC1
Maguary PE0
Central SC2
Laguna1
Sousa0
America-RN2
Atlético Alagoinhas1
CSA7
CRAC1
Ivinhema1
CSE0
Juazeirense1
GAS3
Manaus FC1
Jacuipense1
ASA1