Value bet: America-RN to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmerica-RN to win ✓48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 4.91
Sousa vs America-RN preview and prediction
The match
Sousa host America-RN in the Serie D on Sunday 14 June, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Sousa's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to CRB 0–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
America-RN's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Central SC 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Sousa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.6 for Sousa and 1.0 for America-RN. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 79% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sousa 26%, draw 26%, America-RN 48%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.50.
Value angle: America-RN to win at 2.30 – 48% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Sousa 0–0 America-RN. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sousa26%fair 3.79 · @3.25
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.50
America-RN48%fair 2.09 · @2.30
1.56Expected goals
0.59Sousa xG
0.97America-RN xG
47%Both score
21%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–021%
0–120%
1–012%
1–112%
0–210%
1–26%
From our goals model: Sousa 0.6 – 1.0 America-RN expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
America-RN to win✓
48%
2.09
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
4.91
–
Form
Sousa – last 6
LDWWWD
30 Apr
@ CRB
0–3
L
15 Apr
vs Juazeirense
2–2
D
8 Apr
vs Botafogo PB
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs Confiança
4–1
W
22 Feb
vs Pombal EC
2–0
W
18 Feb
@ Campinense
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
America-RN – last 6
WDWLLD
29 May
vs Central SC
1–0
W
24 May
@ ABC
1–1
D
17 May
vs Laguna
5–0
W
30 Apr
@ Retrô
1–2
L
22 Apr
vs ABC
1–2
L
16 Apr
vs Fortaleza EC
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sousa and America-RN.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sousa vs America-RN?
On our numbers Sousa have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 26% and America-RN 48%.
How many goals will there be in Sousa vs America-RN?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 21% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sousa vs America-RN?
Our predicted score is Sousa 0–0 America-RN, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Sousa vs America-RN?
Sousa vs America-RN (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
ABC1
Maguary PE0
Central SC2
Laguna1
Atlético Alagoinhas1
CSA7
Ipatinga2
Operario Ferroviario1
CRAC1
Ivinhema1
CSE0
Juazeirense1
GAS3
Manaus FC1
Jacuipense1
ASA1