Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
2
Value bet: Treze to win @ 3.25 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRetrô to win ✓38% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.76
Retrô vs Treze preview and prediction
The match
Retrô host Treze in the Serie D on Sunday 14 June, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Arena Pernambuco.
Form guide
Retrô's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Serra Branca 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Treze's last 4: DLLL Most recently they drew with Decisão 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Retrô arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Retrô and 1.5 for Treze. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Retrô 38%, draw 25%, Treze 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Treze to win at 3.25 – 37% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Retrô 1–1 Treze. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Retrô38%fair 2.62 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @2.90
Treze37%fair 2.74 · @3.25
3.00Expected goals
1.52Retrô xG
1.48Treze xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Retrô 1.5 – 1.5 Treze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Retrô to win✓
38%
2.62
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Retrô / FT Retrô✓
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.76
–
Form
Retrô – last 6
DDWLWD
31 May
@ Serra Branca
0–0
D
24 May
vs Lagarto
1–1
D
17 May
vs Decisão
2–1
W
4 May
vs Sergipe
1–3
L
30 Apr
vs America-RN
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Ferroviario
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Treze – last 4
DLLL
6 Jun
@ Decisão
1–1
D
30 May
vs Lagarto
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Nacional de Patos
1–2
L
19 Feb
@ Botafogo PB
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Retrô and Treze.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Retrô vs Treze?
On our numbers Retrô have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Treze 37%.
How many goals will there be in Retrô vs Treze?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Retrô vs Treze?
Our predicted score is Retrô 1–1 Treze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Retrô vs Treze?
Retrô vs Treze (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Pernambuco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Arena Pernambuco
ABC1
Maguary PE0
Central SC2
Laguna1
Sousa0
America-RN2
Atlético Alagoinhas1
CSA7
Ipatinga2
Operario Ferroviario1
CRAC1
Ivinhema1
CSE0
Juazeirense1
GAS3
Manaus FC1