Real Noroeste vs Democrata GV prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Democrata GV or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Democrata GV to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDemocrata GV to win ✗64% · @1.95
Double chanceDemocrata GV or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.47
Real Noroeste vs Democrata GV preview and prediction
The match
Democrata GV travel to face Real Noroeste in the Serie D on Sunday 14 June (21:00 WAT).
Form guide
Real Noroeste's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Vitória ES 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Democrata GV's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Rio Branco ES 3–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Democrata GV arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 April 2026, finished Democrata GV 1–0 Real Noroeste.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Real Noroeste and 1.6 for Democrata GV. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Noroeste 14%, draw 22%, Democrata GV 64%.
Safer route: Democrata GV or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Democrata GV to win at 1.95 – 64% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Democrata GV or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Noroeste 0–1 Democrata GV. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Noroeste14%fair 7.17 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @2.88
Democrata GV64%fair 1.57 · @1.95
2.17Expected goals
0.57Real Noroeste xG
1.60Democrata GV xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–215%
0–011%
1–110%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Real Noroeste 0.6 – 1.6 Democrata GV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Noroeste vs Democrata GV?
Our pick is Democrata GV or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Real Noroeste vs Democrata GV?
On our numbers Real Noroeste have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Democrata GV 64%.
How many goals will there be in Real Noroeste vs Democrata GV?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Noroeste vs Democrata GV?
Our predicted score is Real Noroeste 0–1 Democrata GV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Real Noroeste vs Democrata GV?
Real Noroeste vs Democrata GV (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
ABC1
Maguary PE0
Central SC2
Laguna1
Sousa0
America-RN2
Atlético Alagoinhas1
CSA7
Ipatinga2
Operario Ferroviario1
CRAC1
Ivinhema1
CSE0
Juazeirense1
GAS3
Manaus FC1