Value bet: Brasil DE Pelotas to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente FSJ to win ✗44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.31
Independiente FSJ vs Brasil DE Pelotas preview and prediction
The match
Independiente FSJ host Brasil DE Pelotas in the Serie D on Sunday 24 May, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Brasil DE Pelotas's last 4: WDWW Most recently they beat Farroupilha 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.9 for Independiente FSJ and 0.7 for Brasil DE Pelotas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 79% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Independiente FSJ 44%, draw 25%, Brasil DE Pelotas 30%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Brasil DE Pelotas to win at 3.60 – 30% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Independiente FSJ 0–0 Brasil DE Pelotas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente FSJ44%fair 2.26 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.62
Brasil DE Pelotas30%fair 3.28 · @3.60
1.57Expected goals
0.90Independiente FSJ xG
0.67Brasil DE Pelotas xG
47%Both score
21%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–021%
1–019%
0–114%
1–113%
2–09%
2–16%
From our goals model: Independiente FSJ 0.9 – 0.7 Brasil DE Pelotas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente FSJ to win✗
44%
2.26
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.31
–
Form
Independiente FSJ – last 2
LD
19 May
vs Azuriz
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Marcílio Dias
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Brasil DE Pelotas – last 4
WDWW
21 May
@ Farroupilha
1–0
W
17 May
vs Sao Jose
0–0
D
13 May
vs Guarany de Bagé
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Azuriz
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente FSJ and Brasil DE Pelotas.
What is the prediction for Independiente FSJ vs Brasil DE Pelotas?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Independiente FSJ vs Brasil DE Pelotas?
On our numbers Independiente FSJ have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Brasil DE Pelotas 30%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente FSJ vs Brasil DE Pelotas?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 21% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente FSJ vs Brasil DE Pelotas?
Our predicted score is Independiente FSJ 0–0 Brasil DE Pelotas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Independiente FSJ vs Brasil DE Pelotas?
Independiente FSJ vs Brasil DE Pelotas (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Guarany de Bagé0
Cascavel4
Azuriz2
Blumenau4
Oratório3
Tuna Luso3
ABC1
America-RN1
Araguaína1
Porto Velho1
Brasiliense1
Inhumas0
CRAC0
Uberlandia0
Decisão0
Serra Branca1