Value bet: Blumenau to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBlumenau to win ✓45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.88
Azuriz vs Blumenau preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D sees Azuriz take on Blumenau on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Os Pioneiros.
Form guide
Azuriz's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Independiente FSJ 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Blumenau's last 4: LWWD Most recently they lost to Metropolitano 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Blumenau arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Azuriz and 1.0 for Blumenau. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Azuriz 31%, draw 24%, Blumenau 45%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Blumenau to win at 2.50 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Azuriz 0–1 Blumenau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Azuriz31%fair 3.26 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.75
Blumenau45%fair 2.21 · @2.50
1.81Expected goals
0.77Azuriz xG
1.04Blumenau xG
49%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–016%
1–113%
1–013%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Azuriz 0.8 – 1.0 Blumenau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Blumenau to win✓
45%
2.21
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.88
–
Form
Azuriz – last 3
WLL
19 May
@ Independiente FSJ
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Brasil DE Pelotas
1–2
L
4 Mar
@ Figueirense
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Blumenau – last 4
LWWD
20 May
@ Metropolitano
0–1
L
13 May
@ Hercílio Luz
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Caravaggio
3–1
W
21 Apr
vs Tubarao
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Azuriz and Blumenau.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Azuriz vs Blumenau?
On our numbers Azuriz have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Blumenau 45%.
How many goals will there be in Azuriz vs Blumenau?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Azuriz vs Blumenau?
Our predicted score is Azuriz 0–1 Blumenau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Azuriz vs Blumenau?
Azuriz vs Blumenau (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Os Pioneiros.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.