Value bet: Araguaína to win @ 2.30 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAraguaína to win ✗46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81
Araguaína vs Porto Velho preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D sees Araguaína take on Porto Velho on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Araguaína's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Independência 0–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Porto Velho's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Águia de Marabá 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.7 for Araguaína and 1.4 for Porto Velho. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Araguaína 46%, draw 23%, Porto Velho 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Araguaína to win at 2.30 – 46% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.77, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Araguaína 1–1 Porto Velho. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Araguaína46%fair 2.17 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @2.90
Porto Velho31%fair 3.27 · @2.80
3.07Expected goals
1.72Araguaína xG
1.35Porto Velho xG
57%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Araguaína 1.7 – 1.4 Porto Velho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Araguaína to win✗
46%
2.17
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Araguaína / FT Araguaína✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.81
–
Form
Araguaína – last 6
LWLWDD
17 May
@ Independência
0–1
L
11 May
@ Humaitá
7–0
W
29 Apr
vs Vila Nova
1–2
L
15 Apr
@ Rio Branco ES
3–1
W
8 Apr
vs Capital Brasilia
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Galvez
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Porto Velho – last 6
DLLWWW
29 Apr
vs Águia de Marabá
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Guaporé
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ Amazonas
1–2
L
9 Apr
@ Monte Roraima
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Galvez
4–0
W
27 Mar
vs Remo
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Araguaína and Porto Velho.
What is the prediction for Araguaína vs Porto Velho?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Araguaína vs Porto Velho?
On our numbers Araguaína have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Porto Velho 31%.
How many goals will there be in Araguaína vs Porto Velho?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Araguaína vs Porto Velho?
Our predicted score is Araguaína 1–1 Porto Velho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Araguaína vs Porto Velho?
Araguaína vs Porto Velho (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Guarany de Bagé0
Cascavel4
Azuriz2
Blumenau4
Oratório3
Tuna Luso3
ABC1
America-RN1
Brasiliense1
Inhumas0
CRAC0
Uberlandia0
Decisão0
Serra Branca1
Jacuipense2
Juazeirense2