Safer route: Sampaio Correa or draw (79%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sampaio Correa to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Sampaio Correa 1–0 Parnahyba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sampaio Correa58%fair 1.73 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @2.88
Parnahyba21%fair 4.84 · @4.80
1.42Expected goals
1.03Sampaio Correa xG
0.39Parnahyba xG
46%Both score
17%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–025%
0–024%
2–013%
1–110%
0–110%
2–15%
From our goals model: Sampaio Correa 1.0 – 0.4 Parnahyba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sampaio Correa to win✓
58%
1.73
1.75
Double chance
Sampaio Correa or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
94%
1.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
30%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
25%
4.03
–
Form
Sampaio Correa – last 1
L
6 May
@ Moto Club
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Parnahyba – last 2
DL
22 Feb
vs Teresina Esporte Club
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ Fluminense PI
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sampaio Correa and Parnahyba.
What is the prediction for Sampaio Correa vs Parnahyba?
Our pick is Sampaio Correa to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sampaio Correa vs Parnahyba?
On our numbers Sampaio Correa have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Parnahyba 21%.
How many goals will there be in Sampaio Correa vs Parnahyba?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 17% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sampaio Correa vs Parnahyba?
Our predicted score is Sampaio Correa 1–0 Parnahyba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Sampaio Correa vs Parnahyba?
Sampaio Correa vs Parnahyba (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.