Value bet: Cascavel to win @ 3.80 – our chance 31% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCianorte to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.17
Cianorte vs Cascavel preview and prediction
The match
Cascavel travel to Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay in the Serie D on Sunday 17 May (20:00 WAT) to face Cianorte.
Form guide
Cianorte's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to America Mineiro 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.9 for Cianorte and 0.6 for Cascavel. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Cascavel to win at 3.80 – 31% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Cianorte 0–0 Cascavel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cianorte44%fair 2.26 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @2.62
Cascavel31%fair 3.28 · @3.80
1.50Expected goals
0.87Cianorte xG
0.63Cascavel xG
43%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
1–019%
0–114%
1–112%
2–08%
2–15%
From our goals model: Cianorte 0.9 – 0.6 Cascavel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cianorte to win✓
44%
2.26
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.17
–
Form
Cianorte – last 6
LWWDWL
7 May
@ America Mineiro
2–3
L
1 May
vs Juventude
3–2
W
15 Apr
@ São Bernardo
1–0
W
9 Apr
vs Operario-PR
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Guarany de Bagé
3–1
W
25 Feb
@ Anápolis
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cascavel – last 1
W
5 Apr
vs Santa Catarina
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cianorte and Cascavel.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cianorte vs Cascavel?
On our numbers Cianorte have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cascavel 31%.
How many goals will there be in Cianorte vs Cascavel?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cianorte vs Cascavel?
Our predicted score is Cianorte 0–0 Cascavel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Cianorte vs Cascavel?
Cianorte vs Cascavel (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.