Value bet: Jacuipense to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultJacuipense to win ✓38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓9% · fair 11.17
Atlético Alagoinhas vs Jacuipense preview and prediction
The match
Jacuipense travel to Carneiro in the Serie D on Sunday 17 May (20:00 WAT) to face Atlético Alagoinhas.
Form guide
Atlético Alagoinhas's last 4: LLLD Most recently they lost to CSA 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Jacuipense's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Palmeiras 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Atlético Alagoinhas and 1.4 for Jacuipense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Alagoinhas 36%, draw 26%, Jacuipense 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Jacuipense to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Atlético Alagoinhas 1–1 Jacuipense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Alagoinhas36%fair 2.78 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.80
Jacuipense38%fair 2.61 · @2.80
2.75Expected goals
1.35Atlético Alagoinhas xG
1.40Jacuipense xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Atlético Alagoinhas 1.3 – 1.4 Jacuipense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jacuipense to win✓
38%
2.61
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jacuipense / FT Jacuipense✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
9%
11.17
–
Form
Atlético Alagoinhas – last 4
LLLD
5 Apr
@ CSA
0–3
L
26 Feb
@ São Bernardo
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Bahia
2–4
L
15 Feb
vs Porto BA
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jacuipense – last 6
LLLLLD
14 May
vs Palmeiras
1–4
L
30 Apr
vs Imperatriz
0–1
L
23 Apr
@ Palmeiras
0–3
L
15 Apr
@ Ceara
1–4
L
7 Apr
@ Ferroviario
0–1
L
30 Mar
vs America-RN
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Alagoinhas and Jacuipense.
What is the prediction for Atlético Alagoinhas vs Jacuipense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Atlético Alagoinhas vs Jacuipense?
On our numbers Atlético Alagoinhas have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Jacuipense 38%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Alagoinhas vs Jacuipense?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Alagoinhas vs Jacuipense?
Our predicted score is Atlético Alagoinhas 1–1 Jacuipense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atlético Alagoinhas vs Jacuipense?
Atlético Alagoinhas vs Jacuipense (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Carneiro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Carneiro
Central SC0
Maguary PE0
America-RN5
Laguna0
Brasil DE Pelotas0
Sao Jose0
Cianorte1
Cascavel0
CRAC2
ABECAT Ouvidorense1
CSE1
CSA5
Tuna Luso2
Águia de Marabá1
Ferroviario2
Uniclinic Atletico Clube0