The Serie D sees Primavera MG take on Luverdense on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Primavera MG's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Rio Branco ES 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Primavera MG and 1.1 for Luverdense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.92, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Primavera MG 1–1 Luverdense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Primavera MG37%fair 2.70 · @2.50
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.62
Luverdense36%fair 2.79 · @2.75
2.17Expected goals
1.10Primavera MG xG
1.07Luverdense xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Primavera MG 1.1 – 1.1 Luverdense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Primavera MG to win✓
37%
2.70
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Primavera MG / FT Primavera MG✓
20%
4.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.98
–
Form
Primavera MG – last 6
DLDDLL
29 Apr
vs Rio Branco ES
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Operario Ferroviario
1–4
L
8 Apr
vs Vila Nova
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Brasiliense
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Araguaína
0–2
L
25 Mar
@ Capital Brasilia
3–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Luverdense – last 2
LW
2 May
@ Gama
0–4
L
15 Feb
@ Sport Sinop
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Primavera MG and Luverdense.
What is the prediction for Primavera MG vs Luverdense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Primavera MG vs Luverdense?
On our numbers Primavera MG have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Luverdense 36%.
How many goals will there be in Primavera MG vs Luverdense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Primavera MG vs Luverdense?
Our predicted score is Primavera MG 1–1 Luverdense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Primavera MG vs Luverdense?
Primavera MG vs Luverdense (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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