Ukraine host Albania in the Friendlies on Tuesday 31 March, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Ciudad de Valencia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for Ukraine and 1.1 for Albania. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ukraine 48%, draw 22%, Albania 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ukraine 1–1 Albania. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ukraine48%fair 2.07 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Albania30%fair 3.33 · @3.00
2.58Expected goals
1.48Ukraine xG
1.09Albania xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Ukraine 1.5 – 1.1 Albania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ukraine to win✓
48%
2.07
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ukraine / FT Ukraine✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
8.87
–
Form
Ukraine – last 1
L
26 Mar
vs Sweden
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Albania – last 1
L
26 Mar
@ Poland
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ukraine and Albania.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ukraine vs Albania?
On our numbers Ukraine have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Albania 30%.
How many goals will there be in Ukraine vs Albania?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ukraine vs Albania?
Our predicted score is Ukraine 1–1 Albania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ukraine vs Albania?
Ukraine vs Albania (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad de Valencia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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