Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.12 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMadagascar to win ✗46% · @2.41
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.98
Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar preview and prediction
The match
Equatorial Guinea host Madagascar in the Friendlies on Tuesday 31 March, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT) at Emir hotels Ilicia stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.4 for Equatorial Guinea and 1.8 for Madagascar. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.12 – 53% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Equatorial Guinea 1–1 Madagascar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Equatorial Guinea32%fair 3.14 · @2.78
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.28
Madagascar46%fair 2.16 · @2.41
3.22Expected goals
1.44Equatorial Guinea xG
1.78Madagascar xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Equatorial Guinea 1.4 – 1.8 Madagascar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Madagascar to win✗
46%
2.16
2.41 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.84
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
2.12 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Madagascar / FT Madagascar✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.98
–
Form
Equatorial Guinea
No recent results on record.
Madagascar
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Equatorial Guinea and Madagascar.
What is the prediction for Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar?
On our numbers Equatorial Guinea have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Madagascar 46%.
How many goals will there be in Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar?
Our predicted score is Equatorial Guinea 1–1 Madagascar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar?
Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Emir hotels Ilicia stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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