Liberia vs Libya prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Liberia to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Liberia 0.6 – 0.7 Libya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Libya shade it despite being away from home – 42% to win, against 34% for Liberia.
Liberia have taken 0 points from their last 1 matches (0W 0D 1L), scoring 0.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Libya have 1 points from their last 1 (0W 1D 0L), averaging 0.0 scored and 0.0 conceded. Libya come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.4 goals (0.6 for Liberia, 0.7 for Libya). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–0 (26%), 0–1 (19%), 1–0 (16%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is better than our fair price of 1.37, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Liberia to win at 3.30 is our value angle (34% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Libya to win ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.48 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.50 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.17 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 32% | 3.10 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 19% | 5.20 | – |
Form
Liberia – last 1
| 27 Mar | @ Benin | 0–1 | L |
Libya – last 1
| 27 Mar | vs Niger | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liberia and Libya.
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Slovenia3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Liberia vs Libya?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Liberia vs Libya?
On our numbers Liberia have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Libya 42%.
How many goals will there be in Liberia vs Libya?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
When is Liberia vs Libya?
Liberia vs Libya (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.