Niger vs Togo prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
Value bet: Togo to win @ 3.08 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Niger 1.0 – 1.0 Togo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Niger and Togo on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Niger have taken 1 points from their last 1 matches (0W 1D 0L), scoring 0.0 and conceding 0.0 per game. Togo have 1 points from their last 1 (0W 1D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.0 goals (1.0 for Niger, 1.0 for Togo). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (14%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.47. For a bigger price, Togo to win at 3.08 is our value angle (40% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Togo to win ✓ | 40% | 2.53 | 3.08 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.34 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.98 | 2.30 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 22% | 4.57 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 14% | 7.04 | – |
Form
Niger – last 1
| 27 Mar | @ Libya | 0–0 | D |
Togo – last 1
| 27 Mar | @ Guinea | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Niger and Togo.
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Slovenia3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Niger vs Togo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Niger vs Togo?
On our numbers Niger have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Togo 40%.
How many goals will there be in Niger vs Togo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Niger vs Togo?
Niger vs Togo (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.