Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAvai to win ✓55% · @1.48
Double chanceAvai or draw ✓81% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.42
Avai vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ preview and prediction
The match
Sampaio Corrêa RJ travel to face Avai in the on Thursday 7 May (01:30 WAT).
Form guide
Avai's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Novorizontino 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sampaio Corrêa RJ's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Operario-PR 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Avai arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Avai and 1.1 for Sampaio Corrêa RJ. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Avai 1–1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avai55%fair 1.82 · @1.48
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.75
Sampaio Corrêa RJ19%fair 5.17 · @6.60
2.47Expected goals
1.40Avai xG
1.07Sampaio Corrêa RJ xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Avai 1.4 – 1.1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avai to win✓
55%
1.82
1.48
Double chance
Avai or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avai / FT Avai✓
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.42
–
Form
Avai – last 6
WLWLDW
30 Apr
@ Novorizontino
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Ponte Preta
1–2
L
16 Apr
vs Caxias
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ Chapecoense-sc
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Operario-PR
0–0
D
2 Apr
@ CRB
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sampaio Corrêa RJ – last 6
LLDDWL
30 Apr
vs Operario-PR
1–2
L
16 Apr
@ America Mineiro
1–2
L
8 Apr
vs Volta Redonda
1–1
D
30 Mar
@ São Bernardo
2–2
D
25 Mar
vs Juventude
2–0
W
3 Mar
@ Portuguesa RJ
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avai and Sampaio Corrêa RJ.
What is the prediction for Avai vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Avai vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?
On our numbers Avai have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sampaio Corrêa RJ 19%.
How many goals will there be in Avai vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avai vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?
Our predicted score is Avai 1–1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Avai vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?
Avai vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ () kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Volta Redonda1
Novorizontino2
São Bernardo1
Caxias1
Operario-PR1
Chapecoense-sc2
Juventude2
Tombense1
America Mineiro3
Cianorte2