Operario-PR vs Chapecoense-sc prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOperario-PR to win ✗46% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.13
Operario-PR vs Chapecoense-sc preview and prediction
The match
Operario-PR host Chapecoense-sc in the on Thursday 7 May, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Operario-PR's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat Sampaio Corrêa RJ 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chapecoense-sc's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat America Mineiro 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.4 for Operario-PR and 0.9 for Chapecoense-sc. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Operario-PR 1–1 Chapecoense-sc. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Operario-PR46%fair 2.18 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.95
Chapecoense-sc29%fair 3.44 · @3.30
2.28Expected goals
1.37Operario-PR xG
0.91Chapecoense-sc xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Operario-PR 1.4 – 0.9 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Operario-PR to win✗
46%
2.18
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Operario-PR / FT Operario-PR✗
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.13
–
Form
Operario-PR – last 6
WDDDDW
30 Apr
@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2–1
W
24 Apr
vs Fluminense
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Novorizontino
1–1
D
9 Apr
@ Cianorte
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Avai
0–0
D
2 Apr
@ São Bernardo
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chapecoense-sc – last 6
WLDWDL
29 Apr
vs America Mineiro
2–1
W
21 Apr
@ Botafogo
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ Juventude
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs Avai
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Vitoria
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Atletico-MG
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Operario-PR and Chapecoense-sc.
What is the prediction for Operario-PR vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Operario-PR vs Chapecoense-sc?
On our numbers Operario-PR have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chapecoense-sc 29%.
How many goals will there be in Operario-PR vs Chapecoense-sc?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Operario-PR vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our predicted score is Operario-PR 1–1 Chapecoense-sc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Operario-PR vs Chapecoense-sc?
Operario-PR vs Chapecoense-sc () kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Volta Redonda1
Novorizontino2
São Bernardo1
Caxias1
Juventude2
Tombense1
Avai2
Sampaio Corrêa RJ0
America Mineiro3
Cianorte2