Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlbion FC to win ✗48% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.49
Albion FC vs Cerro Largo preview and prediction
The match
Albion FC host Cerro Largo in the Primera División Apertura on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Estadio Luis Franzini. Albion FC are 12th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Cerro Largo sit 15th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Albion FC's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Defensor Sporting 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Cerro Largo's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Club Nacional 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Albion FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Albion FC and 1.0 for Cerro Largo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Albion FC 48%, draw 22%, Cerro Largo 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Albion FC 1–1 Cerro Largo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Albion FC48%fair 2.09 · @2.08
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Cerro Largo30%fair 3.35 · @3.50
2.30Expected goals
1.33Albion FC xG
0.97Cerro Largo xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Albion FC 1.3 – 1.0 Cerro Largo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albion FC to win✗
48%
2.09
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albion FC / FT Albion FC✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.49
–
Form
Albion FC – last 6
DWWLLW
31 Mar
@ Defensor Sporting
1–1
D
25 Mar
vs Wanderers
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Juventud
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Penarol
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Racing Montevideo
1–3
L
16 Feb
vs Cerro
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cerro Largo – last 6
LWWLLL
25 Mar
@ Club Nacional
0–3
L
20 Mar
vs Deportivo Maldonado
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Central Espanol
3–1
W
9 Mar
vs Atletico Torque
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Liverpool Montevideo
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Defensor Sporting
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albion FC and Cerro Largo.
What is the prediction for Albion FC vs Cerro Largo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Albion FC vs Cerro Largo?
On our numbers Albion FC have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cerro Largo 30%.
How many goals will there be in Albion FC vs Cerro Largo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albion FC vs Cerro Largo?
Our predicted score is Albion FC 1–1 Cerro Largo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Albion FC vs Cerro Largo?
Albion FC vs Cerro Largo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Franzini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
