Liverpool Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado prediction & analysis
75%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win47% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011% · fair 8.79
Liverpool Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado preview and prediction
The match
Liverpool Montevideo host Deportivo Maldonado in the Primera División Apertura on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio Belvedere. Liverpool Montevideo are 1st with 30 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Deportivo Maldonado sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Liverpool Montevideo's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Progreso 3–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Maldonado's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Central Espanol 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Liverpool Montevideo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Liverpool Montevideo and 1.1 for Deportivo Maldonado. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Liverpool Montevideo 47%, draw 22%, Deportivo Maldonado 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Liverpool Montevideo 1–1 Deportivo Maldonado. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liverpool Montevideo47%fair 2.12 · @2.08
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Deportivo Maldonado31%fair 3.22 · @3.30
2.54Expected goals
1.44Liverpool Montevideo xG
1.10Deportivo Maldonado xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Liverpool Montevideo 1.4 – 1.1 Deportivo Maldonado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win
47%
2.12
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.75
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
11%
8.79
–
Form
Liverpool Montevideo – last 6
DDDWWD
31 Mar
@ Progreso
3–3
D
24 Mar
vs Central Espanol
3–3
D
17 Mar
vs Atletico Torque
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Boston River
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Cerro Largo
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Independiente Medellin
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportivo Maldonado – last 6
LWLDWL
31 Mar
@ Central Espanol
1–2
L
24 Mar
vs Atletico Torque
1–0
W
20 Mar
@ Cerro Largo
1–3
L
7 Mar
@ Wanderers
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Juventud
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ Penarol
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liverpool Montevideo and Deportivo Maldonado.
What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado?
On our numbers Liverpool Montevideo have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Maldonado 31%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Our predicted score is Liverpool Montevideo 1–1 Deportivo Maldonado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Liverpool Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Belvedere.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
