Montenegro vs Slovenia prediction & analysis
Slovenia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
Value bet: Draw @ 3.10 – our chance 58% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +79%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Montenegro 0.9 – 1.0 Slovenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Montenegro and Slovenia on our numbers – 18% for the home side, 24% for the visitors and 58% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Montenegro have taken 3 points from their last 1 matches (1W 0D 0L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.0 per game.
We expect around 1.9 goals (0.9 for Montenegro, 1.0 for Slovenia). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%).
Our pick is Slovenia or draw at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is better than our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Draw at 3.10 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Draw ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 3.10 ▲ |
| Double chance | Slovenia or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.36 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 23% | 4.44 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–0 ✗ | 14% | 6.95 | – |
Form
Montenegro – last 1
| 27 Mar | vs Andorra | 2–0 | W |
Slovenia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montenegro and Slovenia.
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Switzerland0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Montenegro vs Slovenia?
Our pick is Slovenia or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Montenegro vs Slovenia?
On our numbers Montenegro have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 58% and Slovenia 24%.
How many goals will there be in Montenegro vs Slovenia?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Montenegro vs Slovenia?
Montenegro vs Slovenia (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion pod Goricom.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.