Burkina Faso vs Guinea-Bissau prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 59% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBurkina Faso to win ✗72% · @1.25
Double chanceBurkina Faso or draw ✓90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Burkina Faso vs Guinea-Bissau preview and prediction
The match
Guinea-Bissau travel to Stade du 4 Aout in the Friendlies on Tuesday 31 March (20:00 WAT) to face Burkina Faso.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.8 for Burkina Faso and 1.1 for Guinea-Bissau. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 59% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Burkina Faso 2–1 Guinea-Bissau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burkina Faso72%fair 1.39 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @5.00
Guinea-Bissau10%fair 9.81 · @10.25
3.93Expected goals
2.84Burkina Faso xG
1.10Guinea-Bissau xG
59%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Burkina Faso 2.8 – 1.1 Guinea-Bissau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burkina Faso to win✗
72%
1.39
1.25
Double chance
Burkina Faso or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.40
Half-time result
Burkina Faso ahead at half-time✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burkina Faso / FT Burkina Faso✗
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.58
–
Form
Burkina Faso
No recent results on record.
Guinea-Bissau
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burkina Faso and Guinea-Bissau.
What is the prediction for Burkina Faso vs Guinea-Bissau?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Burkina Faso vs Guinea-Bissau?
On our numbers Burkina Faso have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Guinea-Bissau 10%.
How many goals will there be in Burkina Faso vs Guinea-Bissau?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burkina Faso vs Guinea-Bissau?
Our predicted score is Burkina Faso 2–1 Guinea-Bissau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Burkina Faso vs Guinea-Bissau?
Burkina Faso vs Guinea-Bissau (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du 4 Aout.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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