Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗17% · fair 5.82
Ceara vs Jacuipense preview and prediction
The match
Jacuipense travel to face Ceara in the Copa Do Nordeste on Wednesday 15 April (01:30 WAT).
Form guide
Ceara's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Nautico Recife 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Jacuipense's last 4: LDLW Most recently they lost to Ferroviario 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ceara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 2.0 for Ceara and 0.5 for Jacuipense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 46%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ceara 74%, draw 20%, Jacuipense 6%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Ceara 2–0 Jacuipense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ceara74%fair 1.36 · @1.22
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @5.40
Jacuipense6%fair 15.99 · @11.00
2.48Expected goals
2.02Ceara xG
0.45Jacuipense xG
46%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–017%
1–017%
3–012%
0–08%
2–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: Ceara 2.0 – 0.5 Jacuipense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ceara to win✓
74%
1.36
1.22
Double chance
Ceara or draw✓
94%
1.07
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.45
Half-time result
Ceara ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ceara / FT Ceara✗
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
17%
5.82
–
Form
Ceara – last 6
WWDDWW
12 Apr
vs Nautico Recife
1–0
W
9 Apr
vs Fortaleza EC
2–0
W
2 Apr
@ Ponte Preta
1–1
D
25 Mar
vs ABC
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Maranhão
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Primavera SP
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Jacuipense – last 4
LDLW
7 Apr
@ Ferroviario
0–1
L
30 Mar
vs America-RN
0–0
D
25 Mar
@ Sport Recife
1–2
L
12 Mar
@ Santa Catarina
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ceara and Jacuipense.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Ceara vs Jacuipense?
On our numbers Ceara have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Jacuipense 6%.
How many goals will there be in Ceara vs Jacuipense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ceara vs Jacuipense?
Our predicted score is Ceara 2–0 Jacuipense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ceara vs Jacuipense?
Ceara vs Jacuipense (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.