Value bet: Sousa to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSousa to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceSousa or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.80
Sousa vs Juazeirense preview and prediction
The match
Juazeirense travel to face Sousa in the Copa Do Nordeste on Wednesday 15 April (23:30 WAT).
Form guide
Sousa's last 4: WWWD Most recently they beat Botafogo PB 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Juazeirense's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Vitoria 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sousa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Sousa and 0.8 for Juazeirense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Sousa to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Sousa 2–0 Juazeirense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sousa61%fair 1.65 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.10
Juazeirense18%fair 5.46 · @3.80
2.64Expected goals
1.79Sousa xG
0.85Juazeirense xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sousa 1.8 – 0.8 Juazeirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sousa to win✗
61%
1.65
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Sousa or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.18
Half-time result
Sousa ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sousa / FT Sousa✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.80
–
Form
Sousa – last 4
WWWD
8 Apr
vs Botafogo PB
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs Confiança
4–1
W
22 Feb
vs Pombal EC
2–0
W
18 Feb
@ Campinense
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Juazeirense – last 5
LWDWD
8 Apr
@ Vitoria
1–4
L
29 Mar
vs AO Itabaiana
3–0
W
25 Mar
@ Fluminense PI
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Porto BA
3–1
W
19 Feb
@ Barcelona BA
0–0
D
1.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sousa and Juazeirense.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sousa vs Juazeirense?
On our numbers Sousa have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Juazeirense 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sousa vs Juazeirense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sousa vs Juazeirense?
Our predicted score is Sousa 2–0 Juazeirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sousa vs Juazeirense?
Sousa vs Juazeirense (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil
Ceara4
Jacuipense1
Fluminense PI0
CRB0
ASA1
Confiança1
Ferroviario1
Retrô1