Retrô travel to Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho in the Copa Do Nordeste on Thursday 9 April (01:30 WAT) to face Sport Recife.
Form guide
Sport Recife's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Londrina 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Sport Recife and 0.8 for Retrô. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sport Recife 60%, draw 23%, Retrô 18%.
Safer route: Sport Recife or draw (82%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Sport Recife 1–0 Retrô. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sport Recife60%fair 1.67 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.60
Retrô18%fair 5.68 · @4.50
2.51Expected goals
1.72Sport Recife xG
0.80Retrô xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sport Recife 1.7 – 0.8 Retrô expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Recife to win✓
60%
1.67
1.67
Double chance
Sport Recife or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Recife / FT Sport Recife✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Form
Sport Recife – last 6
WDWWDL
5 Apr
@ Londrina
2–1
W
1 Apr
vs Vila Nova
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ ABC
1–0
W
25 Mar
vs Jacuipense
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Cuiaba
0–0
D
18 Mar
vs Athletic Club
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Retrô – last 2
WL
24 Mar
@ Imperatriz
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Uberlandia
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Recife and Retrô.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Sport Recife vs Retrô?
On our numbers Sport Recife have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Retrô 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs Retrô?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs Retrô?
Our predicted score is Sport Recife 1–0 Retrô, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sport Recife vs Retrô?
Sport Recife vs Retrô (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil · Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Ceara2
Fortaleza EC0
AO Itabaiana0
Confiança1
ASA2
CRB0