Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultConfiança to win ✓39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.72
AO Itabaiana vs Confiança preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Nordeste sees AO Itabaiana take on Confiança on Thursday 9 April, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Etelvino Mendonca.
Form guide
AO Itabaiana's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Santa Cruz 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Confiança's last 4: WLWL Most recently they beat Fluminense PI 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 February 2026, finished Confiança 1–2 AO Itabaiana.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for AO Itabaiana and 1.2 for Confiança. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 37%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AO Itabaiana 35%, draw 26%, Confiança 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 54% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: AO Itabaiana 1–1 Confiança. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AO Itabaiana35%fair 2.85 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.90
Confiança39%fair 2.55 · @2.80
2.29Expected goals
1.10AO Itabaiana xG
1.19Confiança xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: AO Itabaiana 1.1 – 1.2 Confiança expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AO Itabaiana vs Confiança?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win AO Itabaiana vs Confiança?
On our numbers AO Itabaiana have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Confiança 39%.
How many goals will there be in AO Itabaiana vs Confiança?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AO Itabaiana vs Confiança?
Our predicted score is AO Itabaiana 1–1 Confiança, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is AO Itabaiana vs Confiança?
AO Itabaiana vs Confiança (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Etelvino Mendonca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil · Estadio Etelvino Mendonca
Sport Recife3
Retrô0
Ceara2
Fortaleza EC0
ASA2
CRB0