Value bet: ASA to win @ 2.95 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultASA to win ✓39% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.94
ASA vs CRB preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Nordeste sees ASA take on CRB on Thursday 9 April, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT).
Form guide
ASA's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to CSA 2–3 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CRB's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Avai 0–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for ASA and 1.2 for CRB. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: ASA 39%, draw 26%, CRB 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.83.
Value angle: ASA to win at 2.95 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: ASA 1–1 CRB. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ASA39%fair 2.55 · @2.95
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
CRB35%fair 2.85 · @2.40
2.56Expected goals
1.33ASA xG
1.24CRB xG
59%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: ASA 1.3 – 1.2 CRB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ASA to win✓
39%
2.55
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.83 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ASA / FT ASA✓
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.94
–
Form
ASA – last 6
LWWWLW
2 Apr
vs CSA
2–3
L
24 Mar
vs Piauí
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Miguelense
6–0
W
2 Mar
@ Penedense
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Operario Ferroviario
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Murici Fc
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
CRB – last 6
LDWLWW
2 Apr
vs Avai
0–1
L
25 Mar
@ AO Itabaiana
0–0
D
19 Mar
vs Figueirense
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs CSA
1–3
L
4 Mar
vs Porto BA
6–0
W
19 Feb
vs CSA
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ASA and CRB.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win ASA vs CRB?
On our numbers ASA have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CRB 35%.
How many goals will there be in ASA vs CRB?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ASA vs CRB?
Our predicted score is ASA 1–1 CRB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is ASA vs CRB?
ASA vs CRB (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil
Sport Recife3
Retrô0
Ceara2
Fortaleza EC0
AO Itabaiana0
Confiança1