Value bet: CRB to win @ 4.00 – our chance 33% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFortaleza EC to win ✓45% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.71
Fortaleza EC vs CRB preview and prediction
The match
CRB travel to Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo in the Copa Do Brasil on Thursday 23 April (00:30 WAT) to face Fortaleza EC.
Form guide
Fortaleza EC's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Criciuma 3–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
CRB's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Juventude 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Fortaleza EC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Fortaleza EC and 1.2 for CRB. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fortaleza EC 45%, draw 22%, CRB 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: CRB to win at 4.00 – 33% on our numbers against 25% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Fortaleza EC 1–1 CRB. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fortaleza EC45%fair 2.24 · @1.96
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.20
CRB33%fair 3.03 · @4.00
2.64Expected goals
1.45Fortaleza EC xG
1.20CRB xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 1.4 – 1.2 CRB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fortaleza EC to win✓
45%
2.24
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fortaleza EC / FT Fortaleza EC✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.71
–
Form
Fortaleza EC – last 6
WDLDWW
20 Apr
vs Criciuma
3–2
W
16 Apr
@ America-RN
1–1
D
9 Apr
@ Ceara
0–2
L
31 Mar
vs Cuiaba
0–0
D
28 Mar
vs Imperatriz
2–1
W
25 Mar
@ Ferroviario
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
CRB – last 6
LDLLLD
19 Apr
vs Juventude
0–1
L
15 Apr
@ Fluminense PI
0–0
D
13 Apr
vs Athletic Club
2–3
L
9 Apr
@ ASA
0–2
L
2 Apr
vs Avai
0–1
L
25 Mar
@ AO Itabaiana
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortaleza EC and CRB.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs CRB?
On our numbers Fortaleza EC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CRB 33%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs CRB?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs CRB?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza EC 1–1 CRB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza EC vs CRB?
Fortaleza EC vs CRB (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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