Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.77Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPalmeiras to win ✓80% · @1.05
Double chancePalmeiras or draw ✓95% · fair 1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · @1.22
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗19% · fair 5.32
Palmeiras vs Jacuipense preview and prediction
The match
Palmeiras host Jacuipense in the Copa Do Brasil on Thursday 23 April, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT) at Allianz Parque.
Form guide
Palmeiras's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Sporting Cristal 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Jacuipense's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Ceara 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Palmeiras arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.2 for Palmeiras and 0.4 for Jacuipense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 40%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.77, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Palmeiras 2–0 Jacuipense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Palmeiras80%fair 1.24 · @1.05
Draw15%fair 6.60 · @10.50
Jacuipense5%fair 22.18 · @45.00
2.57Expected goals
2.21Palmeiras xG
0.35Jacuipense xG
40%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–019%
1–017%
3–014%
4–08%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 2.2 – 0.4 Jacuipense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras to win✓
80%
1.24
1.05
Double chance
Palmeiras or draw✓
95%
1.05
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.22
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.77 ▲
Half-time result
Palmeiras ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras✓
55%
1.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
19%
5.32
–
Form
Palmeiras – last 6
WDWWWW
16 Apr
vs Sporting Cristal
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Junior
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Bahia
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Gremio
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Sao Paulo
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Botafogo
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Jacuipense – last 5
LLDLW
15 Apr
@ Ceara
1–4
L
7 Apr
@ Ferroviario
0–1
L
30 Mar
vs America-RN
0–0
D
25 Mar
@ Sport Recife
1–2
L
12 Mar
@ Santa Catarina
1–0
W
0.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palmeiras and Jacuipense.
What is the prediction for Palmeiras vs Jacuipense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Palmeiras vs Jacuipense?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Jacuipense 5%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Jacuipense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Jacuipense?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 2–0 Jacuipense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs Jacuipense?
Palmeiras vs Jacuipense (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Parque.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.