Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.03 – our chance 57% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRussia to win ✗67% · @1.58
Double chanceRussia or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.03
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.74
Russia vs Mali preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies sees Russia take on Mali on Tuesday 31 March, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Gazprom Arena.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Russia and 0.9 for Mali. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Russia 67%, draw 20%, Mali 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 2.03.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.03 – 57% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: Russia 2–0 Mali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Russia67%fair 1.49 · @1.58
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.85
Mali13%fair 7.57 · @5.55
3.26Expected goals
2.31Russia xG
0.95Mali xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Russia 2.3 – 0.9 Mali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Russia to win✗
67%
1.49
1.58 ▲
Double chance
Russia or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
2.03 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.23
Half-time result
Russia ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Russia / FT Russia✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.74
–
Form
Russia – last 1
W
27 Mar
vs Nicaragua
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Mali
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Russia and Mali.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Russia vs Mali?
On our numbers Russia have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mali 13%.
How many goals will there be in Russia vs Mali?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Russia vs Mali?
Our predicted score is Russia 2–0 Mali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Russia vs Mali?
Russia vs Mali (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Gazprom Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Korea DPR U23
Thailand U23
Equatorial Guinea1
Madagascar1
China PR U231
Vietnam U230
China PR U202
Australia U204
India U230
Tajikistan U231
Liberia2
Libya2
Niger0
Togo1
Norway0
Switzerland0