Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBaltika II to win ✓60% · @1.66
Double chanceBaltika II or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.61
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 9.27
Tver vs Baltika II preview and prediction
The match
Tver host Baltika II in the Second League Group 2 on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Tver are 8th with 24 points from 21 games (in the top half), while Baltika II sit 4th on 40 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tver's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Yenisey II 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Baltika II's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Iskra Smolensk 4–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Baltika II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.0 for Tver and 1.9 for Baltika II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tver 18%, draw 21%, Baltika II 60%.
Safer route: Baltika II or draw (82%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.61.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Tver 0–1 Baltika II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tver18%fair 5.43 · @4.33
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.58
Baltika II60%fair 1.66 · @1.66
2.88Expected goals
0.96Tver xG
1.93Baltika II xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
0–210%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Tver 1.0 – 1.9 Baltika II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baltika II to win✓
60%
1.66
1.66
Double chance
Baltika II or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.61
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.16
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Half-time result
Baltika II ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baltika II / FT Baltika II✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
11%
9.27
–
Form
Tver – last 6
DLWLLW
10 May
@ Yenisey II
1–1
D
3 May
vs Chertanovo Moscow
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny
2–0
W
19 Apr
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
1–3
L
12 Apr
@ Cherepovets
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Spartak Moscow 2
4–3
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Baltika II – last 5
WDWWW
10 May
vs Iskra Smolensk
4–1
W
26 Apr
vs Luki-Energiya
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Torpedo Vladimir
2–0
W
5 Apr
@ Irkutsk
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Dinamo Vologda
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tver and Baltika II.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Tver vs Baltika II?
On our numbers Tver have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Baltika II 60%.
How many goals will there be in Tver vs Baltika II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tver vs Baltika II?
Our predicted score is Tver 0–1 Baltika II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tver vs Baltika II?
Tver vs Baltika II (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
