Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.59
Murom vs Irkutsk preview and prediction
The match
Murom host Irkutsk in the Second League Group 2 on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Viktor Losev Stadion. Murom are 1st with 44 points from 21 games (top of the table), while Irkutsk sit 15th on 11 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 33 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Murom's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Dinamo Vologda 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Irkutsk's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Spartak Moscow 2 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Murom arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Murom and 0.5 for Irkutsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Murom 66%, draw 22%, Irkutsk 12%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Murom 1–0 Irkutsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Murom66%fair 1.51 · @1.22
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @5.10
Irkutsk12%fair 8.33 · @10.25
2.26Expected goals
1.71Murom xG
0.55Irkutsk xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Murom 1.7 – 0.5 Irkutsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Murom to win
66%
1.51
1.22
Double chance
Murom or draw
88%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.86
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.77
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.24
Half-time result
Murom ahead at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Murom / FT Murom
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
18%
5.59
–
Form
Murom – last 6
WWDWLW
10 May
@ Dinamo Vologda
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Yenisey II
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Chertanovo Moscow
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
0–3
L
29 Mar
@ Cherepovets
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Irkutsk – last 6
LLWLLL
14 May
vs Spartak Moscow 2
0–1
L
10 May
vs Luki-Energiya
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Torpedo Vladimir
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Dinamo Vologda
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Baltika II
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Yenisey II
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Murom and Irkutsk.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Murom vs Irkutsk?
On our numbers Murom have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Irkutsk 12%.
How many goals will there be in Murom vs Irkutsk?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Murom vs Irkutsk?
Our predicted score is Murom 1–0 Irkutsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Murom vs Irkutsk?
Murom vs Irkutsk (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Viktor Losev Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
