Cherepovets vs Chertanovo Moscow prediction & analysis
72%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.33
7/10Rating
1.33Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCherepovets to win38% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.61
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010% · fair 9.79
Cherepovets vs Chertanovo Moscow preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 2 sees Cherepovets take on Chertanovo Moscow on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Cherepovets are 9th with 24 points from 20 games (in the bottom half), while Chertanovo Moscow sit 5th on 39 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cherepovets's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Kosmos Dolgoprudny 3–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chertanovo Moscow's last 4: WDDW Most recently they beat Tver 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Cherepovets and 1.3 for Chertanovo Moscow. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Cherepovets 1–1 Chertanovo Moscow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cherepovets38%fair 2.62 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.04
Chertanovo Moscow37%fair 2.67 · @2.76
2.52Expected goals
1.27Cherepovets xG
1.25Chertanovo Moscow xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Cherepovets 1.3 – 1.3 Chertanovo Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cherepovets to win
38%
2.62
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.70
1.61
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.38
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.95
1.89
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cherepovets / FT Cherepovets
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
10%
9.79
–
Form
Cherepovets – last 5
WWWWL
11 May
@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ Spartak Moscow 2
1–0
W
12 Apr
vs Tver
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Iskra Smolensk
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Murom
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Chertanovo Moscow – last 4
WDDW
3 May
@ Tver
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Murom
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Zvezda St. Petersburg
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Torpedo Vladimir
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cherepovets and Chertanovo Moscow.
What is the prediction for Cherepovets vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Cherepovets vs Chertanovo Moscow?
On our numbers Cherepovets have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chertanovo Moscow 37%.
How many goals will there be in Cherepovets vs Chertanovo Moscow?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cherepovets vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Our predicted score is Cherepovets 1–1 Chertanovo Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cherepovets vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Cherepovets vs Chertanovo Moscow (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
