Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.67
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno preview and prediction
The match
The CONMEBOL Libertadores sees Palmeiras take on Cerro Porteno on Thursday 21 May, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Nubank Parque. Palmeiras are 2nd with 11 points from 6 games, while Cerro Porteno sit 1st on 13 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Palmeiras's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Cruzeiro 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Cerro Porteno's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Club Guarani 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Palmeiras arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 April 2026, finished Cerro Porteno 1–1 Palmeiras.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Palmeiras and 0.6 for Cerro Porteno. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 48%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Palmeiras 1–0 Cerro Porteno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Palmeiras66%fair 1.52 · @1.31
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @4.65
Cerro Porteno12%fair 8.11 · @11.00
2.24Expected goals
1.66Palmeiras xG
0.58Cerro Porteno xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 1.7 – 0.6 Cerro Porteno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cerro Porteno 12%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 1–0 Cerro Porteno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno?
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Nubank Parque.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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