Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✓50% · @1.90
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.31
LDU de Quito vs Lanus preview and prediction
The match
The CONMEBOL Libertadores sees LDU de Quito take on Lanus on Thursday 21 May, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado. LDU de Quito are 1st with 12 points from 6 games, while Lanus sit 3rd on 9 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
LDU de Quito's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Mushuc Runa SC 3–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Lanus's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Argentinos JRS 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 April 2026, finished Lanus 1–0 LDU de Quito.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.2 for LDU de Quito and 0.8 for Lanus. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: LDU de Quito 50%, draw 27%, Lanus 23%.
Safer route: LDU de Quito or draw (77%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: LDU de Quito 1–0 Lanus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
LDU de Quito50%fair 1.99 · @1.90
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.40
Lanus23%fair 4.32 · @4.00
1.93Expected goals
1.16LDU de Quito xG
0.78Lanus xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 1.2 – 0.8 Lanus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Lanus?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Lanus 23%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Lanus?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Lanus?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 1–0 Lanus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Lanus?
LDU de Quito vs Lanus (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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