Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlamengo to win ✗49% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.72
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo preview and prediction
The match
Estudiantes L.P. host Flamengo in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Thursday 30 April, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Ciudad de La Plata. Estudiantes L.P. are 2nd with 9 points from 6 games, while Flamengo sit 1st on 16 points.
Form guide
Estudiantes L.P.'s last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Cusco 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Flamengo's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Vitoria 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Estudiantes L.P. and 1.5 for Flamengo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 Flamengo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estudiantes L.P.27%fair 3.65 · @3.55
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.96
Flamengo49%fair 2.05 · @2.22
2.59Expected goals
1.06Estudiantes L.P. xG
1.52Flamengo xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Estudiantes L.P. 1.1 – 1.5 Flamengo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flamengo to win✗
49%
2.05
2.22 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flamengo / FT Flamengo✗
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.72
–
Form
Estudiantes L.P. – last 6
WDLWWL
14 Apr
vs Cusco
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Independiente Medellin
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ San Lorenzo
0–1
L
23 Mar
vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
5–0
W
18 Mar
@ Gimnasia M.
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs Lanus
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Flamengo – last 6
WWWWLD
23 Apr
vs Vitoria
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Bahia
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs Independiente Medellin
4–1
W
9 Apr
@ Cusco
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ RB Bragantino
0–3
L
23 Mar
@ Corinthians
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes L.P. and Flamengo.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
On our numbers Estudiantes L.P. have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Flamengo 49%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 Flamengo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de La Plata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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