Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSao Paulo to win ✗61% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.56
Sao Paulo vs Millonarios preview and prediction
The match
Sao Paulo host Millonarios in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wednesday 20 May, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Do MorumBIS. Sao Paulo are 1st with 12 points from 6 games, while Millonarios sit 3rd on 8 points.
Form guide
Sao Paulo's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Juventude 1–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Millonarios's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Patriotas 3–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished Millonarios 0–0 Sao Paulo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.4 for Sao Paulo and 0.6 for Millonarios. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sao Paulo 61%, draw 19%, Millonarios 20%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sao Paulo 1–0 Millonarios. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sao Paulo61%fair 1.65 · @1.65
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.55
Millonarios20%fair 4.98 · @5.50
2.09Expected goals
1.45Sao Paulo xG
0.64Millonarios xG
48%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Sao Paulo 1.4 – 0.6 Millonarios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sao Paulo vs Millonarios?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sao Paulo vs Millonarios?
On our numbers Sao Paulo have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Millonarios 20%.
How many goals will there be in Sao Paulo vs Millonarios?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sao Paulo vs Millonarios?
Our predicted score is Sao Paulo 1–0 Millonarios, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sao Paulo vs Millonarios?
Sao Paulo vs Millonarios (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Do MorumBIS.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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