Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Tigre to win @ 4.00 – our chance 29% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmerica de Cali to win ✗48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.64
America de Cali vs Tigre preview and prediction
The match
The CONMEBOL Sudamericana sees America de Cali take on Tigre on Wednesday 20 May, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero. America de Cali are 3rd with 9 points from 6 games, while Tigre sit 2nd on 9 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
America de Cali's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Santa Fe 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Tigre's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Macara 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Tigre 2–0 America de Cali.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for America de Cali and 0.9 for Tigre. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: America de Cali 48%, draw 23%, Tigre 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Tigre to win at 4.00 – 29% on our numbers against 25% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: America de Cali 1–1 Tigre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
America de Cali48%fair 2.08 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.10
Tigre29%fair 3.41 · @4.00
2.28Expected goals
1.33America de Cali xG
0.95Tigre xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: America de Cali 1.3 – 0.9 Tigre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for America de Cali vs Tigre?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win America de Cali vs Tigre?
On our numbers America de Cali have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tigre 29%.
How many goals will there be in America de Cali vs Tigre?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America de Cali vs Tigre?
Our predicted score is America de Cali 1–1 Tigre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is America de Cali vs Tigre?
America de Cali vs Tigre (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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