Value bet: Carabobo FC to win @ 1.65 – our chance 66% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCarabobo FC to win ✓66% · @1.65
Double chanceCarabobo FC or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.63
Carabobo FC vs Blooming preview and prediction
The match
Blooming travel to Estadio Misael Delgado in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Thursday 30 April (23:00 WAT) to face Carabobo FC. Carabobo FC are 3rd with 9 points from 6 games, while Blooming sit 4th on 1 points.
Form guide
Carabobo FC's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Academia Anzoátegui 6–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Blooming's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Nacional Potosí 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Carabobo FC and 0.7 for Blooming. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Carabobo FC 66%, draw 20%, Blooming 14%.
Safer route: Carabobo FC or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Carabobo FC to win at 1.65 – 66% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Carabobo FC 1–0 Blooming. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Carabobo FC66%fair 1.53 · @1.65
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.70
Blooming14%fair 7.00 · @5.20
2.48Expected goals
1.81Carabobo FC xG
0.67Blooming xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Carabobo FC 1.8 – 0.7 Blooming expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carabobo FC to win✓
66%
1.53
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Carabobo FC or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Half-time result
Carabobo FC ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carabobo FC / FT Carabobo FC✓
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.63
–
Form
Carabobo FC – last 6
WLWDDL
20 Apr
vs Academia Anzoátegui
6–3
W
16 Apr
@ River Plate
0–1
L
10 Apr
vs RB Bragantino
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Deportivo La Guaira
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Puerto Cabello
1–1
D
18 Mar
@ Estudiantes de Merida FC
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Blooming – last 6
WLDWWL
23 Apr
vs Nacional Potosí
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ RB Bragantino
2–3
L
9 Apr
vs River Plate
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Guabirá
5–0
W
4 Mar
vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3–0
W
26 Feb
@ Bolívar
1–5
L
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carabobo FC and Blooming.
What is the prediction for Carabobo FC vs Blooming?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Carabobo FC vs Blooming?
On our numbers Carabobo FC have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Blooming 14%.
How many goals will there be in Carabobo FC vs Blooming?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carabobo FC vs Blooming?
Our predicted score is Carabobo FC 1–0 Blooming, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Carabobo FC vs Blooming?
Carabobo FC vs Blooming (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Misael Delgado.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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