Value bet: Deportivo Maldonado to win @ 2.25 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Maldonado to win ✗49% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.15
Central Espanol vs Deportivo Maldonado preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División Apertura sees Central Espanol take on Deportivo Maldonado on Tuesday 31 March, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Parque Palermo. Central Espanol are 16th with 8 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Deportivo Maldonado sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Central Espanol's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Liverpool Montevideo 3–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Deportivo Maldonado's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Atletico Torque 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Central Espanol and 1.4 for Deportivo Maldonado. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Central Espanol 29%, draw 22%, Deportivo Maldonado 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Deportivo Maldonado to win at 2.25 – 49% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Central Espanol 1–1 Deportivo Maldonado. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Central Espanol29%fair 3.50 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Deportivo Maldonado49%fair 2.04 · @2.25
2.47Expected goals
1.02Central Espanol xG
1.45Deportivo Maldonado xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Central Espanol 1.0 – 1.4 Deportivo Maldonado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Maldonado to win✗
49%
2.04
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Maldonado / FT Deportivo Maldonado✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.15
–
Form
Central Espanol – last 6
DLDLWW
24 Mar
@ Liverpool Montevideo
3–3
D
15 Mar
vs Cerro Largo
1–3
L
9 Mar
@ Defensor Sporting
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Wanderers
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Juventud
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Penarol
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Maldonado – last 5
WLDWL
24 Mar
vs Atletico Torque
1–0
W
20 Mar
@ Cerro Largo
1–3
L
7 Mar
@ Wanderers
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Juventud
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ Penarol
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Central Espanol and Deportivo Maldonado.
What is the prediction for Central Espanol vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Central Espanol vs Deportivo Maldonado?
On our numbers Central Espanol have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Maldonado 49%.
How many goals will there be in Central Espanol vs Deportivo Maldonado?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Central Espanol vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Our predicted score is Central Espanol 1–1 Deportivo Maldonado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Central Espanol vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Central Espanol vs Deportivo Maldonado (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
