Defensor Sporting vs Albion FC prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Albion FC to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDefensor Sporting to win ✗46% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.66
Defensor Sporting vs Albion FC preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División Apertura sees Defensor Sporting take on Albion FC on Tuesday 31 March, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Luis Franzini. Defensor Sporting are 13th with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Albion FC sit 12th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Defensor Sporting's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Danubio 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Albion FC's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Wanderers 2–1 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.2 for Defensor Sporting and 0.9 for Albion FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Defensor Sporting 46%, draw 22%, Albion FC 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Albion FC to win at 3.50 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Defensor Sporting 1–0 Albion FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Defensor Sporting46%fair 2.18 · @2.08
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Albion FC32%fair 3.16 · @3.50
2.04Expected goals
1.16Defensor Sporting xG
0.88Albion FC xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Defensor Sporting 1.2 – 0.9 Albion FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensor Sporting to win✗
46%
2.18
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Defensor Sporting / FT Defensor Sporting✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.66
–
Form
Defensor Sporting – last 6
DWDLLW
26 Mar
@ Danubio
0–0
D
21 Mar
vs Club Nacional
2–1
W
9 Mar
vs Central Espanol
0–0
D
3 Mar
@ Atletico Torque
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Atletico Torque
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Cerro Largo
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Albion FC – last 5
WWLLW
25 Mar
vs Wanderers
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Juventud
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Penarol
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Racing Montevideo
1–3
L
16 Feb
vs Cerro
3–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensor Sporting and Albion FC.
What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting vs Albion FC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Defensor Sporting vs Albion FC?
On our numbers Defensor Sporting have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Albion FC 32%.
How many goals will there be in Defensor Sporting vs Albion FC?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensor Sporting vs Albion FC?
Our predicted score is Defensor Sporting 1–0 Albion FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Defensor Sporting vs Albion FC?
Defensor Sporting vs Albion FC (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Franzini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
