Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.61
Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Santamarina take on Guillermo Brown on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin. Santamarina are 36th with 13 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Guillermo Brown sit 34th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Guillermo Brown's last 4: DLLL Most recently they drew with Germinal de Rawson 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Santamarina and 0.6 for Guillermo Brown. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santamarina 58%, draw 27%, Guillermo Brown 16%.
Safer route: Santamarina or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Santamarina to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.73, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Santamarina 1–0 Guillermo Brown. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santamarina58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @2.90
Guillermo Brown16%fair 6.42 · @3.90
2.12Expected goals
1.49Santamarina xG
0.63Guillermo Brown xG
47%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Santamarina 1.5 – 0.6 Guillermo Brown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santamarina to win✗
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Santamarina or draw✗
84%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santamarina / FT Santamarina✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.61
–
Form
Santamarina – last 2
DD
17 May
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Guillermo Brown – last 4
DLLL
17 May
@ Germinal de Rawson
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Sol de Mayo
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Alvarado
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santamarina and Guillermo Brown.
What is the prediction for Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown?
Our pick is Santamarina to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown?
On our numbers Santamarina have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Guillermo Brown 16%.
How many goals will there be in Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown?
Our predicted score is Santamarina 1–0 Guillermo Brown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown?
Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
