Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Germinal de Rawson to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGerminal de Rawson to win ✓65% · @1.83
Double chanceGerminal de Rawson or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓25% · fair 3.99
Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo preview and prediction
The match
Sol de Mayo travel to Estadio El Fortin in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 24 May (19:00 WAT) to face Germinal de Rawson. Germinal de Rawson are 30th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Sol de Mayo sit 28th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sol de Mayo's last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to Villa Mitre 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Germinal de Rawson and 0.3 for Sol de Mayo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Germinal de Rawson 65%, draw 22%, Sol de Mayo 13%.
Safer route: Germinal de Rawson or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (58%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Germinal de Rawson to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Germinal de Rawson 1–0 Sol de Mayo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Germinal de Rawson65%fair 1.54 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.00
Sol de Mayo13%fair 7.66 · @4.20
1.65Expected goals
1.31Germinal de Rawson xG
0.34Sol de Mayo xG
42%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–025%
0–019%
2–016%
1–19%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Germinal de Rawson 1.3 – 0.3 Sol de Mayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Germinal de Rawson to win✓
65%
1.54
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Germinal de Rawson or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Germinal de Rawson / FT Germinal de Rawson✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
25%
3.99
–
Form
Germinal de Rawson – last 2
DD
17 May
vs Guillermo Brown
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sol de Mayo – last 3
LWD
17 May
@ Villa Mitre
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Guillermo Brown
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Alvarado
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Germinal de Rawson and Sol de Mayo.
What is the prediction for Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo?
Our pick is Germinal de Rawson to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo?
On our numbers Germinal de Rawson have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sol de Mayo 13%.
How many goals will there be in Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo?
Our predicted score is Germinal de Rawson 1–0 Sol de Mayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo?
Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
