9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Sportivo Belgrano to win @ 3.60 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Result9 de Julio Rafaela to win ✗40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.16
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees 9 de Julio Rafaela take on Sportivo Belgrano on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at El Coloso. 9 de Julio Rafaela are 14th with 25 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Sportivo Belgrano sit 3rd on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
9 de Julio Rafaela's last 4: WDWL Most recently they beat Douglas Haig 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Sportivo Belgrano's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Atletico Escobar 3–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Sportivo Belgrano 3–0 9 de Julio Rafaela.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for 9 de Julio Rafaela and 1.1 for Sportivo Belgrano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: 9 de Julio Rafaela 40%, draw 26%, Sportivo Belgrano 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Sportivo Belgrano to win at 3.60 – 34% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–1 Sportivo Belgrano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
9 de Julio Rafaela40%fair 2.47 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.88
Sportivo Belgrano34%fair 2.95 · @3.60
2.29Expected goals
1.219 de Julio Rafaela xG
1.08Sportivo Belgrano xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.2 – 1.1 Sportivo Belgrano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano?
On our numbers 9 de Julio Rafaela have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sportivo Belgrano 34%.
How many goals will there be in 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our predicted score is 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–1 Sportivo Belgrano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano?
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at El Coloso.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
