Value bet: Olimpo Bahia Blanca to win @ 4.10 – our chance 29% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlvarado to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.20
Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Alvarado take on Olimpo Bahia Blanca on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 16:15 (WAT). Alvarado are 5th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Olimpo Bahia Blanca sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Olimpo Bahia Blanca's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Santamarina 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.9 for Alvarado and 0.6 for Olimpo Bahia Blanca. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Olimpo Bahia Blanca to win at 4.10 – 29% on our numbers against 24% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Alvarado 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alvarado46%fair 2.19 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.70
Olimpo Bahia Blanca29%fair 3.40 · @4.10
1.57Expected goals
0.93Alvarado xG
0.65Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG
42%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–021%
1–019%
0–113%
1–112%
2–09%
2–16%
From our goals model: Alvarado 0.9 – 0.6 Olimpo Bahia Blanca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alvarado to win✓
46%
2.19
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.20
–
Form
Alvarado – last 2
DW
3 Apr
@ Sol de Mayo
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Guillermo Brown
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Olimpo Bahia Blanca – last 3
DWW
17 May
@ Santamarina
0–0
D
27 Apr
vs Circulo Deportivo
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Guillermo Brown
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alvarado and Olimpo Bahia Blanca.
What is the prediction for Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
On our numbers Alvarado have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Olimpo Bahia Blanca 29%.
How many goals will there be in Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Our predicted score is Alvarado 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
