Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente De Chivilcoy prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportivo Las Parejas to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 6.92
Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente De Chivilcoy preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Sportivo Las Parejas take on Independiente De Chivilcoy on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio La Perrera. Sportivo Las Parejas are 15th with 24 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Independiente De Chivilcoy sit 25th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Sportivo Las Parejas and 0.9 for Independiente De Chivilcoy. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sportivo Las Parejas 43%, draw 24%, Independiente De Chivilcoy 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 51% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Sportivo Las Parejas 1–0 Independiente De Chivilcoy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Las Parejas43%fair 2.30 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.88
Independiente De Chivilcoy33%fair 3.04 · @3.40
2.06Expected goals
1.13Sportivo Las Parejas xG
0.93Independiente De Chivilcoy xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sportivo Las Parejas 1.1 – 0.9 Independiente De Chivilcoy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Las Parejas to win✓
43%
2.30
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Las Parejas / FT Sportivo Las Parejas✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
6.92
–
Form
Sportivo Las Parejas – last 2
DD
5 Apr
vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1–1
D
30 Mar
@ Atletico Escobar
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Independiente De Chivilcoy – last 2
WL
5 Apr
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
3–0
W
29 Mar
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–3
L
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Las Parejas and Independiente De Chivilcoy.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
On our numbers Sportivo Las Parejas have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independiente De Chivilcoy 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Las Parejas 1–0 Independiente De Chivilcoy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente De Chivilcoy (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Perrera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
