Value bet: Argentino Monte Maíz to win @ 1.60 – our chance 68% vs 63% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArgentino Monte Maíz to win ✓68% · @1.60
Double chanceArgentino Monte Maíz or draw ✓91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗27% · fair 3.74
Argentino Monte Maíz vs San Martín Mendoza preview and prediction
The match
San Martín Mendoza travel to Estadio Modesto Marrone in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 17 May (19:30 WAT) to face Argentino Monte Maíz. Argentino Monte Maíz are 17th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while San Martín Mendoza sit 23rd on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 1.4 for Argentino Monte Maíz and 0.3 for San Martín Mendoza. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Argentino Monte Maíz 68%, draw 23%, San Martín Mendoza 9%.
Both teams to score: no (61%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Argentino Monte Maíz to win at 1.60 – 68% on our numbers against 63% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.41, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Argentino Monte Maíz 1–0 San Martín Mendoza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Argentino Monte Maíz68%fair 1.47 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.10
San Martín Mendoza9%fair 10.63 · @6.00
1.63Expected goals
1.36Argentino Monte Maíz xG
0.27San Martín Mendoza xG
39%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–027%
0–020%
2–018%
3–08%
1–17%
0–15%
From our goals model: Argentino Monte Maíz 1.4 – 0.3 San Martín Mendoza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentino Monte Maíz to win✓
68%
1.47
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Argentino Monte Maíz or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Argentino Monte Maíz / FT Argentino Monte Maíz✓
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
27%
3.74
–
Form
Argentino Monte Maíz – last 2
LD
5 Apr
@ Deportivo Rincon
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Costa Brava
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
San Martín Mendoza – last 2
LD
29 Mar
@ Cipolletti
0–3
L
21 Mar
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentino Monte Maíz and San Martín Mendoza.
What is the prediction for Argentino Monte Maíz vs San Martín Mendoza?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Argentino Monte Maíz vs San Martín Mendoza?
On our numbers Argentino Monte Maíz have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Martín Mendoza 9%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino Monte Maíz vs San Martín Mendoza?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentino Monte Maíz vs San Martín Mendoza?
Our predicted score is Argentino Monte Maíz 1–0 San Martín Mendoza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Argentino Monte Maíz vs San Martín Mendoza?
Argentino Monte Maíz vs San Martín Mendoza (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Modesto Marrone.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
