Value bet: Kimberley Mar del Plata to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKimberley Mar del Plata to win ✓43% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓17% · fair 5.98
Circulo Deportivo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Circulo Deportivo take on Kimberley Mar del Plata on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Guillermo Trama. Circulo Deportivo are 37th with 13 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Kimberley Mar del Plata sit 8th on 26 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Circulo Deportivo and 1.0 for Kimberley Mar del Plata. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Circulo Deportivo 32%, draw 25%, Kimberley Mar del Plata 43%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Kimberley Mar del Plata to win at 2.62 – 43% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Circulo Deportivo 0–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Circulo Deportivo32%fair 3.09 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.70
Kimberley Mar del Plata43%fair 2.34 · @2.62
1.76Expected goals
0.79Circulo Deportivo xG
0.98Kimberley Mar del Plata xG
47%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–117%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: Circulo Deportivo 0.8 – 1.0 Kimberley Mar del Plata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kimberley Mar del Plata to win✓
43%
2.34
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
17%
5.98
–
Form
Circulo Deportivo – last 2
LL
27 Apr
@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Villa Mitre
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Kimberley Mar del Plata – last 2
DD
5 Apr
vs Santamarina
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Germinal de Rawson
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Circulo Deportivo and Kimberley Mar del Plata.
What is the prediction for Circulo Deportivo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Circulo Deportivo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
On our numbers Circulo Deportivo have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kimberley Mar del Plata 43%.
How many goals will there be in Circulo Deportivo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Circulo Deportivo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Our predicted score is Circulo Deportivo 0–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Circulo Deportivo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Circulo Deportivo vs Kimberley Mar del Plata (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Trama.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
