Value bet: Costa Brava to win @ 3.80 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Rincon to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.08
Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Deportivo Rincon take on Costa Brava on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros. Deportivo Rincon are 22nd with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Costa Brava sit 27th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Costa Brava's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Atenas 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Deportivo Rincon and 0.8 for Costa Brava. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Rincon 47%, draw 24%, Costa Brava 29%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Costa Brava to win at 3.80 – 29% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Deportivo Rincon 1–0 Costa Brava. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Rincon47%fair 2.11 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @2.88
Costa Brava29%fair 3.47 · @3.80
1.94Expected goals
1.15Deportivo Rincon xG
0.79Costa Brava xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Rincon 1.1 – 0.8 Costa Brava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Rincon to win✓
47%
2.11
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Rincon / FT Deportivo Rincon✓
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.08
–
Form
Deportivo Rincon – last 2
WL
5 Apr
vs Argentino Monte Maíz
2–0
W
21 Mar
@ San Lorenzo
0–5
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Costa Brava – last 3
LDW
19 Apr
vs Atenas
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Argentino Monte Maíz
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Fundacion Amigos
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Rincon and Costa Brava.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?
On our numbers Deportivo Rincon have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Costa Brava 29%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Rincon 1–0 Costa Brava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?
Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
