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Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin

Santamarina vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca prediction & analysis

70%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultOlimpo Bahia Blanca to win ✗38% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.47

Santamarina vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca preview and prediction

The match

Olimpo Bahia Blanca travel to Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 17 May (22:10 WAT) to face Santamarina. Santamarina are 36th with 13 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Olimpo Bahia Blanca sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Santamarina and 0.9 for Olimpo Bahia Blanca. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Santamarina 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Santamarina36%fair 2.81 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.75
Olimpo Bahia Blanca38%fair 2.61 · @2.70
1.78Expected goals
0.86Santamarina xG
0.91Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–017%
0–115%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%

From our goals model: Santamarina 0.9 – 0.9 Olimpo Bahia Blanca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOlimpo Bahia Blanca to win ✗38%2.612.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.871.53
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗55%1.811.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70%1.431.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.161.12
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓25%4.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.47–

Form

Santamarina – last 1

D
5 Apr@ Kimberley Mar del Plata0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Olimpo Bahia Blanca – last 2

WW
27 Aprvs Circulo Deportivo1–0W
5 Apr@ Guillermo Brown2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Santamarina and Olimpo Bahia Blanca.

Santamarina vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santamarina vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Santamarina vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

On our numbers Santamarina have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Olimpo Bahia Blanca 38%.

How many goals will there be in Santamarina vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santamarina vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

Our predicted score is Santamarina 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Santamarina vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

Santamarina vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 22:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.